The latest numbers are in, and March 2025 brought some unexpected twists to the Metro Vancouver real estate scene. With the lowest March sales since 2019, rising inventory, and benchmark prices showing subtle shifts — this market is quietly evolving.
So, what’s really going on? Let’s break it down.
📉 Sales Slowdown: The Calm Before the Spring Surge?
Residential sales across Metro Vancouver dropped 13.4% compared to March 2024, totaling 2,091 transactions. That’s also a significant 36.8% below the 10-year seasonal average. The big story? Buyers are holding back — at least for now.
"Buyers haven’t seen market conditions this favourable in years… but so far, they haven’t shown up in the numbers we typically see at this time of year,"
— Andrew Lis, Director of Economics & Data Analytics, GVR
🏠 Listings Surge: Inventory Hits a 10-Year High
While buyers may be hesitant, sellers are stepping up. New listings soared 29% year-over-year, with 6,455 homes newly listed in March. The total inventory has ballooned to 14,546 properties — that’s 38% higher than this time last year and the highest inventory level in nearly a decade.
This means more choices for buyers, and more competition for sellers.
📊 Sales-to-Active Listings Ratio: A Balanced Market with Pockets of Heat
The overall sales-to-active listings ratio sits at 14.9%, indicating a balanced market. But when we break it down by property type, we see some interesting trends:
🏡 Detached Homes: 10.3% (Buyer’s Market)
🏘️ Attached Homes (Townhomes): 21.5% (Sellers’ Market Territory)
🏢 Apartments: 16.2% (Balanced)
💡 Historical rule of thumb:
Below 12% = downward pressure on prices
Above 20% = upward pressure on prices
The townhome segment is especially noteworthy. With only ~2,200 active listings across the region, the supply is simply not keeping up with demand.
💵 Benchmark Prices: Mostly Holding Steady
Despite lower sales, prices are holding their ground — with subtle monthly increases but some year-over-year softening.
MLS® HPI Benchmark Prices:
🏠 Detached: $2,034,400 — ⬆️ 0.8% YoY | ⬆️ 0.4% MoM
🏘️ Townhomes: $1,113,100 — ⬇️ 0.8% YoY | ⬆️ 0.2% MoM
🏢 Condos: $767,300 — ⬇️ 0.9% YoY | ⬆️ 1.0% MoM
🏡 Composite (All Types): $1,190,900 — ⬇️ 0.6% YoY | ⬆️ 0.5% MoM
📈 While prices have softened slightly since last year, monthly increases suggest underlying stability. It’s not a crash — it’s a recalibration.
🔍 What Does This Mean for You?
💼 Buyers:
✅ More inventory = more choice
✅ Lower competition = better negotiating power
✅ Lower mortgage rates = increased affordability
🚨 But... don’t wait too long. Market momentum may build into spring and summer.
🏡 Sellers:
✅ Serious buyers are still active
✅ Townhomes are hot — especially in tight-supply areas
🚨 Be strategic with pricing and presentation to stand out
📈 Investors:
✅ High inventory creates short-term buying opportunities
✅ Watch the sales-to-listings ratio closely for timing entry/exit
✅ Townhomes remain the segment to watch
🌸 Final Thoughts
March 2025 might feel “slow,” but the underlying conditions point to an opportunity-rich market. With more inventory, low mortgage rates, and price stability, this could be a smart time to make a move — whether you're buying, selling, or investing.
If you're wondering how these trends impact your plans, let’s connect! I’m always happy to chat about your real estate goals — no pressure, just honest guidance. 💬
📩 Ready to make your move or need help navigating this market?
Send me a message or book a call — I’ve got your back! 🏡💼
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